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Thank you, Pitt, for scaring the snot out of me but still keeping me in the competition.

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"To create something great, you need the means to make a lot of really bad crap." - Kevin Kelly

Why aren't you shopping AmaCoN?

Thank you Duke for sucking.
Thank you UConn for being great again.
Thank you all of those idiots who thought Memphis was a good team.

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I find your lack of faith disturbing...

Bwahaha! Elite 8, suckers! Can't really be cocky in the face of UConn though.

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SPEKKIO: "GRRR...That was most embarrassing!"

Quote (Kappa the Imp @ 27th March 2009 00:25)

Thank you Duke for sucking.
Thank you UConn for being great again.
Thank you all of those idiots who thought Memphis was a good team.

Yes.
Yes.
Shut up.

I'm actually really surprised how many people took Nova in that game, from a brief look. I thought that was going to be my game to pick up some extra points.

This post has been edited by Rangers51 on 27th March 2009 10:52

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"To create something great, you need the means to make a lot of really bad crap." - Kevin Kelly

Why aren't you shopping AmaCoN?

If I was more efficiently observant,and had more time on my hands, I would do the scenario generator for everyone a la Neal. But as I was far more interested in my diminished hopes, it looks like my hopes hinge on one of two aspects:

M S U winning the whole championship

OR

MSU beating Louisville and Oklahoma beating UNC, with one of the two at very least making the championship game.





Go SoonerSpartans!

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"When I turn the page
The corner bends into the perfect dog ear
As if the words knew I'd need them again
But at the time, I didn't see it."

~"This Ain't a Surfin' Movie" - Minus the Bear

The Favorites:
Bobbo (18.8%)
Bobbo has the most chances to win remaining in the tournament. His hopes rely, as he mentioned, on MSU and Oklahoma - nobody else has MSU as the champion, and only one other person has Oklahoma in the championship game. However, in every situation where Bobbo wins, Oklahoma beats North Carolina.

Sweetdude (18.0%)
Sweetdude was a prat and chose all the #1 seeds to advance to the final four, but given what we've seen, that might not be such a bad choice. He is probably the overall favorite, given that his hopes don't rely on any one team - however, Louisville, Pitt, or MSU cannot win it all.

Pink Nu (10.9%)
Pink Nu has a good number of possibilities to win, but there are some must-win scenarios. Louisville cannot advance to the final four, and Connecticut cannot be in the championship game. He needs Michigan State to go far, but if they win it all, Oklahoma cannot have been their opponent.

The Potentials:
FH (9.4%)
Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh. Pitt must beat Villanova, they must be in the championship game, and they almost definitely have to win it all (two scenarios exist where Missouri can win it all).

Super Moogle (9.4%)
This is a longshot given that Missouri must beat Connecticut for SM to continue on in the tournament. However, they took out last year's runner up already, and have been able to put up a lot of points. Villanova almost definitely has to beat Pitt, as well.

ChiTown (9.4%)
I'm guessing this is Tidu, but I didn't recognize the Yahoo ID. Louisville has to win the entire shebang for him to win it all. As soon as Louisville is out, so is he. Nothing else is really that important.

Geek (7.8%)
In this case it's all about Connecticut. Connecticut must win it all for him to win the tournament. They also cannot be playing North Carolina in the championship game.

Not Bloody Likely:
Hamedo (5.1%)
The championship game must be between Louisville and Oklahoma, and even then many other games have to go a specific direction.

Gabe (4.7%)
Pitt must be in the championship game, and has to be playing Michigan State or Missouri, but MSU cannot win. MSU has to beat Louisville.

Nate (2.7%)
Connecticut, Villanova, and Louisville have to win their E8 games, and Louisville must be in the title game.

Waste Of My Time:
Josh (1.6%)
Missouri, Pitt, Michigan State, and UNC all must win, then Missouri and Pitt have to meet in the title game. Winner doesn't matter.

Mike (1.6%)
Villanova, Michigan State, and North Carolina must win, then North Carolina must beat Michigan State. Missouri/Connecticut is inconsequential.

If your name isn't here, YOU ARE OUT AND YOU HAVE FAILED.

This post has been edited by Neal on 28th March 2009 18:27

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Hey, put the cellphone down for a while
In the night there is something wild
Can you hear it breathing?
And hey, put the laptop down for a while
In the night there is something wild
I feel it, it's leaving me

1.8%? Please. Mizzou and MSU beating UConn and Louisville respectively is all but a mathematical certainty.

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"To create something great, you need the means to make a lot of really bad crap." - Kevin Kelly

Why aren't you shopping AmaCoN?

The percentages are based on number of possible winning outcomes versus the number of total outcomes, so it assumes that it's equally likely for any team to win.

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Hey, put the cellphone down for a while
In the night there is something wild
Can you hear it breathing?
And hey, put the laptop down for a while
In the night there is something wild
I feel it, it's leaving me

Yep, Chi-Towners is my go-to name. Go Louisville! I'm surprised I had even that left....


I was really happy to see Nova win last night, and for Duke to lose the other night. Good stuff.

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The clouds ran away, opened up the sky
And one by one I watched every constellation die
And there I was frozen, standing in my backyard
Face to face, eye to eye, staring at the last star
I should've known, walked all the way home
To find that she wasn't here, I'm still all alone

-Atmosphere "Always Coming Back Home to You"

Sorry, I didn't know how to play.

Last night's games bumped Josh, Super Moogle, Gabe, and FH from the running, leaving us with just eight people available to win.

But now we might see a bunch more leaving - GO STATE!

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Hey, put the cellphone down for a while
In the night there is something wild
Can you hear it breathing?
And hey, put the laptop down for a while
In the night there is something wild
I feel it, it's leaving me

A little peeved Neal ruled me out of winning before.
But it's all irrelevant because I am officially bumped by Louisville's heroic collapse.

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I find your lack of faith disturbing...

I didn't rule you out until just now! Nate, Hamedo, and Tidu are all eliminated. MIKE IS STILL ALIVE.

Pink Nu (31.3%)
Sweetdude (31.3%)
Bobbo (18.8%)
Geek (12.5%)
Mike (6.3%)

Bobbo and Geek are eliminated with an Oklahoma loss, Mike is eliminated with a North Carolina loss.

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Hey, put the cellphone down for a while
In the night there is something wild
Can you hear it breathing?
And hey, put the laptop down for a while
In the night there is something wild
I feel it, it's leaving me

Waste of your time, huh? HUH!? I got this.

Seriously, though, how in the hell have I not been eliminated yet.

Another year of getting within sniffing distance of victory, only to be thwarted by the TAR HEELS! Yet another reason to hate them (not that I need another reason)

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"When I turn the page
The corner bends into the perfect dog ear
As if the words knew I'd need them again
But at the time, I didn't see it."

~"This Ain't a Surfin' Movie" - Minus the Bear

I can be at best 2nd and at worst 7th

Coming off of a 1st place, I think this can be chalked up as a successful year?

As usual, the tournament for my picks boiled down to a few consistent rules:
1. A darling team that was miserably upset... West Virginia (past: Texas A&M, Kansas, Wake Forest)
2. A gut/researched pick that ended up well... Villanova
3. Flipping the coin and choosing the wrong team on a toss up... every 5/12 and 9/8 and onward.

Someday I'll follow my gut and stop getting heartbroken over bad picks.

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I find your lack of faith disturbing...

Just three possible winners left.

UConn > UNC: Sweetdude
UConn > Nova: Sweetdude
UNC > UConn: Sweetdude
UNC > MSU: Mike
MSU > UNC: Pink Nu
MSU > Nova: Pink Nu
Nova > MSU: Pink Nu
Nova > UConn: Sweetdude

I could come in at best 2nd and at worst 12th. I think I'm alright with that.


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Hey, put the cellphone down for a while
In the night there is something wild
Can you hear it breathing?
And hey, put the laptop down for a while
In the night there is something wild
I feel it, it's leaving me

Villanova have been a really good team to watch. It's such a shame I've mostly been supporting the other team. And that's why I'm hopeful it's going to be a VN v UConn final. That would be brilliant.

As for the prat part, yes it is very prattish to go for the #1 seeds, but I picked my teams in about 1 minute flat; mostly top seeds because it most of them felt easier to pick. I did put Cali down to beat Memphis, so that must count for something. North Carolina to win just because, to me, they are acute to the others' obtuseness, if that makes even the least amount of sense...

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Scepticism, that dry rot of the intellect, had not left one entire idea in his mind.

Me on the Starcraft.

Quote (sweetdude @ 30th March 2009 15:14)

As for the prat part, yes it is very prattish to go for the #1 seeds, but I picked my teams in about 1 minute flat; mostly top seeds because it most of them felt easier to pick. I did put Cali down to beat Memphis, so that must count for something. North Carolina to win just because, to me, they are acute to the others' obtuseness, if that makes even the least amount of sense...

Yeah, I noticed in your overall picks that you had a few actual upsets picked, so I wasn't seriously annoyed. I just get annoyed when people pick absolutely no upsets.

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Hey, put the cellphone down for a while
In the night there is something wild
Can you hear it breathing?
And hey, put the laptop down for a while
In the night there is something wild
I feel it, it's leaving me

Tonight is a huge game. If UConn win then, according to Neal, I'll win the tournament, and R51's prophecy will come true.

Quote (Rangers51 @ 1st March 2009 18:34)

people who really should have no business winning (that might actually include me, come to think of it) often do.

This post has been edited by sweetdude on 4th April 2009 12:21

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Scepticism, that dry rot of the intellect, had not left one entire idea in his mind.

Me on the Starcraft.

Holy god Mike is still alive.

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Hey, put the cellphone down for a while
In the night there is something wild
Can you hear it breathing?
And hey, put the laptop down for a while
In the night there is something wild
I feel it, it's leaving me

Such a prescient avatar, Neal. Shocked Marle is shocked (at Mike).

Unless Nova somehow manages to pull this out and then beats MSU, I'm locked into 14th. Thanks, scenario generator!

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"To create something great, you need the means to make a lot of really bad crap." - Kevin Kelly

Why aren't you shopping AmaCoN?

Locked into Top 5! It feels good to reach your goals.

I think it's great that the Big Ten and ACC really showed the Big East what's what (but props to the Big East nonetheless). I'd love to see the championship back to the ACC but honestly, if mike wins, I think I'd smile as well.

PS: Bobbo. It's Big Least.

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I find your lack of faith disturbing...

WHY AM I STILL ALIVE

I think regardless of outcome, I can be happy that I did better than last year.

This post has been edited by footbigmike on 5th April 2009 12:33

Ah well. MSU played a great game last night, can't complain. UConn bottled it with 10 minutes to spare. They looked terrified.

UNC have been like a steamroller. No wonder they're called the tar heels.

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Scepticism, that dry rot of the intellect, had not left one entire idea in his mind.

Me on the Starcraft.

lol MSU
lol Big Ten
lol Mike won

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I find your lack of faith disturbing...

what

Quote

Mike (1.6%)
Villanova, Michigan State, and North Carolina must win, then North Carolina must beat Michigan State. Missouri/Connecticut is inconsequential.

It was foretold in the prophecy.

This post has been edited by footbigmike on 7th April 2009 09:29

It's so hard to find a bright spot to this game. I mean, good that MSU lost, but I would have been happier finishing second in the conference to the national champion. Also, any game that Mike doesn't win is a good game.

That's got to be the least likely winner, based on the odds, that we've ever seen in CoNCAA. That's apocryphal but it wouldn't surprise me in the least.

Mike now enjoys... sigh... a $25 AmaCoN gift card, a dollar for each player who actually made all their picks, IIRC?

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"To create something great, you need the means to make a lot of really bad crap." - Kevin Kelly

Why aren't you shopping AmaCoN?

And, once again, my bracket sucked.

Now I must translate my sorrow and pain into progress by devoting my full attention to my fantasy baseball team.

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Currently Playing : Final Fantasy V
Most Recently Beat : Elder Scrolls: Skyrim
Favorite Game : Final Fantasy X

The newest CoNcast is up! Have a listen!

So, I discovered today that Yahoo does not archive NCAA tournaments. And I don't have a full ranking of the 2009 results either, other than a few I've been able to piece together. I have an email out to Yahoo to see if they can provide the full data, and I also have a message out to Neal to see if he might have it from his analysis. However, I'm going to guess that neither of those two avenues will work.

So, if you were in this for 2009, can you please log into Yahoo at this link: http://profiles.sports.yahoo.com/ and look for CoNCAA Tournament Pick'em 2009 in your Fantasy Archive? Please PM me your team name and your final rank (## of 28) so I can keep our stats going. Thanks!

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"To create something great, you need the means to make a lot of really bad crap." - Kevin Kelly

Why aren't you shopping AmaCoN?